A Magyar Kereskedelmi és Iparkamara Gazdaság- és Vállalkozáskutató Nonprofit Kft. (MKIK GVI) 1998 óta évente kétszer rendszeresen felméri a magyar vállalkozások üzleti helyzetét és várakozásait.
A mostani felmérés során az általános gazdasági klímára vonatkozó kérdések mellett jelentős figyelmet fordítunk a koronavírus-járvány vállalkozásokat érintő hatásaira, a járványhelyzet kezelésével kapcsolatos tapasztalataikra, problémáikra és terveikre.

Megjelent az MKIK Gazdaság- és Vállalkozáskutató Intézetének havi tájékoztatója.
A tanulmányokat a mellékletekben olvashatják magyar és angol nyelven.

Monthly Bulletin of Economic Trends I January 2020

Macroeconomic trends in Hungary
Hungarian economic tendencies will be presented in the article below via an overview of the most important macroeconomic indicators such as GDP, employment, gross wages, investments, industrial production and foreign trade, from directly after the crisis to 2019.

In 2009 the Hungarian economy found itself in a remarkably deep crisis. The recession was almost as severe as the transformational crisis (1991-1995) caused by the regime shift. The crisis resulted in plummeting economic performance - GDP fell 6.5% by the end of the year 2009. This downward tendency slowed down in the first half of 2010, turning into growth in mid-2010, and in the second half of the same year the growth rate was back at the pre-crisis level. Then in 2011, owing to the crisis of the Eurozone, the international economic environment became quite unfavourable again.

The Hungarian economy relapsed in 2012, with GDP dropping by 1.5%. Finally, recovery came in 2013 with a growth rate of 2.2%, and the next year saw a 4.1% growth year-on-year. There was a mild slowdown in 2015 and 2016 with growth rates of 3.5% and 2.2% respectively, followed by a surge to 4.1% in 2017. 2018 was a top year when GDP growth shot up to 5.1%. The first three quarters of 2019 saw similar growth rates. In the first two quarters, economy grew by 5.2%, and in the third quarter the rate was somewhat lower at 4.8% compared to the same period of the previous year.

Recovery after the crisis was much slower in Hungary than in its number one target country for exports, Germany. On all accounts, the Hungarian crisis was much deeper than the one Germany had to recover from. Furthermore, recovery in Hungary could only start later than in Germany. Although recession affected the two economies at an equal strength and at an equal speed, in the first quarter after the turning point in 2009 the German economy could recover remarkably quickly. By early 2011 the German economy had been back at pre-crisis levels and has grown almost unintermittently ever since. Hungary, on the other hand, had to deal with a prolonged recession, only reaching pre-crisis levels in the third quarter of 2014. The growth rate difference between the two economies levelled out between the first quarter of 2016 and the fourth quarter of 2017, and in 2018 the Hungarian growth rate spiked up and overtook that of Germany. In 2019 the Hungarian growth rate difference was 6-7% over Germany.


To read further, click on the attached document below

Download this file (MBET_2001_200211.pdf)MBET_20201

Középiskolák bejárás

Megjelent az MKIK Gazdaság- és Vállalkozáskutató Intézetének havi tájékoztatója.
A tanulmányokat a mellékletekben olvashatják magyar és angol nyelven.

Monthly Bulletin of Economic Trends July 2019

Corporate reactions to the raise of the minimum wage/guaranteed minimum salary of qualified staff

Our brief analysis examines the nine potential measures that can be reactions to the affects of the January 20191 raise of the minimum wage/guaranteed minimum salary for qualified staff. CEOs were asked to fill in the form below.

The raise of the minimum wage to HUF 149,000 and the guaranteed minimum salary of qualified staff to HUF 195,000 have resulted/will result in the following measures at your company in 2019:

  • wages of those earning above the minimum wage are also increased to avoid wage pressure
  • planned staff recruitment is cancelled
  • redundancies are made
  • projected investments are postponed
  • employees entitled for a raise are given new duties
  • employees entitled for a raise are reorganised to do part-time jobs
  • other benefits (e.g. perks) of employees involved are cut
  • variable pay (e.g. bonus) is decreased
  • prices are increased

Of the above measures, CEOs generally preferred to increase prices: More than one third (38%) of them have opted for that solution or responded to increase prices later this year. 32% of respondents reported the cancellation of planned staff recruitment. 30% of CEOs have given - or are planning to give - a raise this year to employees earning above the standard minimum wage in order to avoid a wage pressure. One quarter (25%) of the surveyed companies are planning to postpone projected investments. 15% and 13% of companies respectively chose to decrease fringe benefits and variable pay (e.g. bonuses). About one in ten businesses (12%) will redirect employees to part-time employment.or modify the duties of those eligible for a raise (11%). Redundancy was the least common reaction, performed by only 5% of surveyed companies.


You can read more by clicking the attachment below

Download this file (MBET_1907_190813.pdf)MBET 2019 July

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