Favourable business situation, improving outlook - results of the April 2018 IEER Business Climate Survey

The latest wave of the IEER Business Climate Survey is based on the responses of 3,274
enterprises. According to the findings, the Business Climate Index was at 53 points as of April
2018. This score has been the highest since 1998, the year when surveying began.

Companies still see business climate as favourable. The improving tendency of the previous year
seems to be continuing. For most part this can be put down to the fact that expectations for
unfilled orders have become much higher. Business climate outlook has also improved slightly.

Uncertainty index dropped 3 points below the October value to 39. This might mean that the
optimism of Hungarian businesses has become more uniform compared to previous year’s data...

 

For the full acticle click the Attachment below:

Mellékletek:
Download this file (MBET_May_2018.pdf)MBET May 2018

Monthly Bulletin of Economic Trends January 2019

Results of the October 2018 IEER Quarterly Business Climate Survey


The Quarterly Business Climate Survey of IEER is based on the answers of 400 CEO respondents, now surveyed about their business situation and expectations. The Quarterly Business Climate Index and the Quarterly Uncertainty Index were calculated from the full sample of 300 small and medium-sized enterprises (20-249 employees) and 100 large enterprises (250+ employees). For small and medium-sized enterprises, the SME Outlook Business Climate Index and the SME Outlook Uncertainty Index were calculated.

 

According to October 2018 records, the level of business confidence in Hungary stayed unchanged compared to the previous quarter: the Quarterly Business Climate Index stagnates compared to the 42 points calculated in July. This score has been the highest since records of Quarterly Business Climate Index surveys began in 2010, not unlike the score measured in July (see figure 1). The Quarterly Uncertainty Index is currently at 30 points, which is 4 points up in comparison with the records taken in the previous quarter. This might mean that the perception of the business situation became less uniform among companies since July.

 

However, if business confidence is examined separately, the SME Outlook Business Climate Index has been climbing since the drop in July: from 34 points it is now up at 41 points. This has been the highest score in the history of our SME Outlook Business Climate Index, with records starting in 2005 (see figure 2). The SME Outlook Uncertainty Index, now at 36 points, increased by 6 points since July 2018, meaning that the opinion of small and medium-sized enterprises became less uniform...

 

For the full article, click the Attachment below:

Mellékletek:
Download this file (MBET_Jan_2019.pdf)MBET Jan 2019

Monthly Bulletin of Economic Trends February 2019

Late payment and circular debt in Hungarian business life


This analysis by IEER concerns the experience of Hungarian businesses with late payment and circular debt. The results are based on IEER's July 2018 Quarterly Business Climate Survey, which involved 400 domestic respondents. Based on the answers, 55% of businesses had at least one partner that paid late in the first half of 2018, and 8% of respondents made late payments themselves to their suppliers in the examined period. The issue of late payment most often hits medium-sized companies (with 100-249 employees) and the construction industry. The results show that businesses now have fewer late-paying partners on average than in the previous few years, and a smaller proportion of their income arrives late. However, the number of companies that failed to pay in time to their suppliers at least once due to the late payment of their customers slightly rose since January 2018.

 

In the course of IEER's July 2018 Quarterly Business Climate Survey, 400 domestic respondents were surveyed about late payment and circular debt.

55% of surveyed companies had at least one business partner that paid late multiple times in the first half of 2018. As seen in Figure 1, the rate of the same companies was 63% in the second half of 2017 and 78% in January the same year, meaning that late payment has become rarer compared to the results of our previous survey. The proportion of companies with more than half of their partners paying late also decreased. In July 2018, 2% of companies were such, whereas the same ratio was 3% and 7% in January 2018, and January 2017, respectively.

 

The companies affected the most in the first half of 2018 were medium sized companies employing 100-249 workers. 63% of these companies received late payment from at least one partner (in fact, 13% of their partners paid late on average). By analysing data by sectors one can say that construction companies (67%) and providers of business services (57%) were the most often exposed to late payment. Respectively, 16% and 12% of the partners of construction companies and business service providers paid late multiple times. Besides, results also show that ownership structure did not really make a difference in the proportion of late-paying business partners: 55% of fully domestic companies had such partners in 2018 (on average, 9% of their partners paid late), while 51% of companies of (partly) foreign ownership received delayed payment (on average, from 8% of their business partners)...

 

For the full article click on the Attachment below:

Mellékletek:
Download this file (MBET_Febr_2019.pdf)MBET February 2019

Monthly Bulletin of Economic Trends | March 2019

Results of the January 2019 IEER Quarterly Business Climate Survey

The Quarterly Business Climate Survey of IEER is based on the survey of 400 CEO respondents
about their business situation and expectations. The Quarterly Business Climate Index and the
Quarterly Uncertainty Index were calculated from the full sample of 300 small and mediumsized
enterprises (20-249 employees) and 100 large companies (250+ employees). For small and
medium-sized enterprises, an SME Outlook Business Climate Index and an SME Outlook
Uncertainty Index were calculated.

According to the records taken in January 2019 the level of business confidence in Hungary
dropped back slightly compared to the zenith measured in July and October 2018

 

 

For the full description click the Attachment below:

 

Mellékletek:
Download this file (MBET_1903_190410.pdf)MBET March 2019

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